Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.178768 1.332800 1.501431 1.700084 1.928127 2.182211 2.487442
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.953223 1.163238 1.413237 1.734232 2.137547 2.630230 3.281828
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.808432 1.036598 1.323460 1.713406 2.233969 2.910968 3.867885
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.719864 0.961052 1.278178 1.730108 2.364783 3.235028 4.537043
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.638726 0.882033 1.214218 1.706945 2.429551 3.466608 5.096984
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.577282 0.821371 1.165953 1.695701 2.503524 3.711910 5.699840
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.508886 0.742762 1.082511 1.621198 2.470932 3.788825 6.045292
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.477363 0.714611 1.069217 1.649097 2.595534 4.118221 6.833953
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.450968 0.691205 1.059963 1.680747 2.727131 4.470364 7.703511
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.423521 0.663312 1.040497 1.692728 2.825521 4.775215 8.526930
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.398369 0.636651 1.020152 1.700272 2.915461 5.072888 9.373540
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.380134 0.619567 1.013631 1.730003 3.046200 5.455865 10.431434
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.351560 0.583375 0.972792 1.697026 3.062442 5.634605 11.123439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.338026 0.571825 0.973319 1.738611 3.222412 6.106017 12.485977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.315933 0.543424 0.941609 1.717020 3.257703 6.334933 13.364504
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.301593 0.527608 0.930964 1.733829 3.369662 6.730512 14.667084
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.282969 0.502543 0.901256 1.710605 3.397380 6.952527 15.605316
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.267545 0.482221 0.878734 1.699335 3.448288 7.229264 16.713780
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.245545 0.447987 0.827195 1.624656 3.356216 7.179746 17.017054
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.237549 0.439901 0.825527 1.652620 3.490260 7.656007 18.717518
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.230481 0.433070 0.825718 1.684346 3.635803 8.176282 20.618535
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.221738 0.422301 0.817161 1.696355 3.737394 8.603938 22.342515
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.213124 0.411184 0.807035 1.703916 3.829219 9.018673 24.101302